Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Tuesday, June 9, 2026
... A Few Isolated to Widely Scattered Showers and Storms Across the Panhandle and East Coast Today... Locally Higher Chances of Rain Along Southwest Florida Coast... Any Storm Could Produce Lightning and Heavy Downpours... Hot and Muggy Conditions Persist... Feels-like Temperatures in the 90s to Near 100-Degrees... Areas of Patchy Fog Across the Western Panhandle Tonight... Moderate Risk for Rip Currents Along Panhandle and East Coast Beaches...
Updated at 9:00 AM EDT
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Excessive Heat |
Flash Flooding |
Fog (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
|
Eastern Panhandle, I-95 Corridor & South FL
|
|
|
Iso. Statewide |
Locally Central & South FL |
|
Western Panhandle |
East Coast & Eastern Panhandle West Coast & Northwest FL |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
A bit more moisture is expected to creep into the state today as high pressure over the northern Gulf begins to weaken and shift westward. Breezy onshore flow will also increase along the East Coast today which, along with the afternoon sea breeze boundaries, will encourage a few isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms to develop this afternoon (20-30% chance of rain). A locally higher chance of rain exists across Southwest Florida where sea breeze boundary collisions are most favorable (40-60% chance of rain). Throughout North Florida, an upper-level disturbance will rotate across the region, helping to spark a few showers and storms across the eastern Panhandle (25-35% chance of rain). Although there is no organized risk for flash flooding today, any storm statewide could produce occasional lightning and locally heavy downpours.
Warm and muggy conditions will continue across the state today, though a bit more cloud cover will keep high temperatures and feels-like temperatures in the upper 80s to middle 90s for most. A few locations across South Florida may see heat indices near 100-degrees. Recent hot and dry conditions have helped to dry out vegetation statewide which will encourage locally sensitive wildfire conditions despite relative humidities remaining above critical thresholds and winds below 20 mph.
Tonight, any showers or storms will quickly dissipate after sunset across the state. Lows will fall into the 70s to lower 80s across the state tonight. A bit more moisture and calmer winds may promote patchy fog development across the western Panhandle by daybreak Wednesday.
Rip Currents: Relatively weak onshore winds are expected along the Panhandle coast today where a low to moderate risk for rip currents is expected. A moderate risk is also expected along all East Coast beaches where breezy onshore winds will increase today. A low risk persists for West Coast beaches. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Surf will be at around 2-3’ along the East Coast, with West Coast and Panhandle beaches expecting surf heights of 1-2’ today.
Red Tide: was observed at background concentrations in Pinellas County over the past week. It was not observed elsewhere across the state (valid 6/5/26).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding today.
Fire Weather: A bit more moisture will begin to creep into the state today as onshore easterly winds upwards of 20-25 mph increase along the East Coast. Isolated to scattered showers and storms are also expected across the eastern Panhandle, I-95 Corridor, and much of South Florida of which could be accompanied by lightning and brief gusty/erratic winds. Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds today, however recent hot and dry weather combined with long-term drought conditions will promote at least locally sensitive wildfire conditions statewide. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 43 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 7,397 acres.
Drought (6/2/26): Notable categorical improvements were made on this week’s Drought Monitor update across the Western Panhandle and portions of Northeast and Southwest Florida. In the Panhandle where the highest rainfall totals (4-6”) were observed last week, the existing severe drought (level 2 of 4) west of the Apalachicola River was reduced to a moderate drought (level 1 of 4). The extreme drought (level 3 of 4) across portions of Bay, Calhoun, Gadsen, Liberty, Gulf and portions of Western Leon and Wakulla and Franklin counties was reduced to a severe drought (level 2 of 4). The western and northeastern extent of the exceptional drought (level 4 of 4) area was trimmed, reducing portions of Leon, Liberty, Franklin, Wakulla, Jefferson, Madison, Taylor, Nassau, Baker, Columbia, and Hamilton counties to a severe drought (level 3 of 4). Elsewhere, the area of extreme drought (level 3 of 4) was reduced to a severe drought (level 2 of 4) along eastern Nassau, Duval, St. Johns, Clay, and Putnam, northern Volusia and Lake counties, and for all of Flagler county. The small swath of severe drought (level 2 of 4) across Southwest Florida has been expanded southward to encompass western Collier and extreme northwestern Monroe counties. All other remaining drought areas saw little to no change in this update. 99% of Florida remains in at least a moderate drought, with 10% of the state (Big Bend and North-Central Florida) in an exceptional drought - a 7% reduction in exceptional drought coverage compared to last week. Looking ahead, a drier pattern is expected to follow for much of the state which may promote some localized worsening of categorical drought conditions.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 390 (+15) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 9 out of 67 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no organized risk for flash flooding today. Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout the eastern Panhandle, I-95 corridor, and South Florida may be accompanied by locally heavy downpours.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across the state. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 11.18 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.96 feet below normal for this time of year.
