Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Friday, December 12, 2025
...Clear Skies this Morning Give Way to Another Sunny and Dry Day Statewide... Locally Sensitive Wildfire Conditions Across Northeast Florida as Relative Humidities Dip Near Critical Thresholds... Clear and Calm Conditions Overnight Promote Patchy Fog Development Across the Suwannee Valley and Big Bend...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents for Panhandle and East Coast Beaches...
Updated at 9:04 AM EST
Today's Threats:
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No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Fog (Overnight) |
Coastal Flooding |
Rip Currents |
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North Florida |
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Suwannee Valley & Big Bend North Florida Locally South Florida |
Southeast FL Panhandle Space & Treasure Coast West Coast
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Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Clear skies this morning will give way to another sunny and dry day across the state as surface high pressure remains anchored over the Southeast U.S. Chances of rain will remain zero as dry air holds in place, which will help to bring relative humidities to near critical thresholds (30-35% RH values) this afternoon across Northeast and North-Central Florida. Locally sensitive wildfire conditions may develop across much of Northeast Florida given the ongoing long-term drought, even with some recent rainfall.
High temperatures will be seasonable today, reaching the middle to upper 60s across North Florida, lower to middle 70s in Central Florida, and middle to upper 70s across South Florida.
Dry conditions will continue to prevail overnight. Clear skies and increasing low-level moisture may lead to patchy dense fog development across much of the Suwannee Valley and Big Bend region overnight. Patchy fog cannot be ruled out across much of North Florida and along the I-4 corridor as well and Dense Fog Advisories may be issued as conditions warrant. Low temperatures will be the coolest across the Suwannee Valley overnight where lows into the lower to middle 40s can be expected. Lows will dip into the middle 40s to lower 50s across the rest of North Florida overnight. In Central Forida, lows will reach the lower to middle 50s and upper 50s to lower 60s in interior South Florida. Coastal regions of South Florida will only reach the upper 60s to lower 70s overnight.
Hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30.
For the latest on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at www.hurricanes.gov.
Rip Currents: A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for most Panhandle, Space Coast, and Treasure Coast beaches today with a high risk for rip currents expected for Southeast Florida beaches where some lingering elevated surf will remain. A low risk will return to West Coast and Northeast beaches. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Ocean swells will diminish today along much of the entire East Coast with surf of 2-4’ expected. A few waves upwards of 5’ cannot be ruled out in the surf zone off Southeast Florida. Wave heights of 1-2’ can be expected for all West Coast and Panhandle beaches.
Red Tide was observed at background to medium concentrations along the Bay County coastline and background to low concentrations offshore Franklin and Gulf County. Red Tide was not observed in Southwest Florida or along the East Coast (valid 12/5).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding across Florida.
Fire Weather: Dry conditions will remain across the state as high pressure builds in across the Southeast U.S. Winds will remain generally light today, however relative humidities will approach critical thresholds across Northeast and Central Florida this afternoon (30-35% RH values). Given the ongoing long-term drought that is in place or continues to develop, locally sensitive wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out even with some recent rainfall wetting the topsoils. Across West-Central Florida and the Florida Panhandle, locally sensitive wildfire conditions may also develop this afternoon given the ongoing drought. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 9 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 192 acres.
Drought (12/11): Widespread rainfall totals of 2-4 inches was observed across the Panhandle and North Florida over the past week as numerous rounds of showers and thunderstorms rolled through the area the past weekend and early this week. As a result, this week’s Drought Monitor outlook features some reduction in drought categories across much of North Florida. Last week’s Exceptional Drought has been downgraded to an Extreme Drought (level 3 of 4) across portions of Jackson, Calhoun, Liberty, Gadsden, Leon, Wakulla, Jefferson, and Madison counties. Severe Drought (level 2 of 4) remains in place cross much of the I-10 corridor from Baker County to Holmes County in North Florida, with Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) across the rest of the western Panhandle and southward across the southern portions of the Suwannee River Valley. Some slight reduction in the Severe Drought (level 2 of 4) was seen over coastal West-Central Florida of northern Hillsborough and Pinellas County where some localized rainfall totals of 4-6 inches was observed in the past week. However, just south of that, expansion of the Severe Drought (level 2 of 4) was added over southern Sarasota and coastal Charlotte Counties where rainfall largely missed. A general couple of tenths of rain were observed over South Florida in the past week, not enough to curb the developing drought. Expansion of the Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was added to this week’s outlook across much of interior South Florida, with abnormally dry (emerging drought) conditions expanding to the Southeast Florida coastline. Although shorter-term rainfall departures are above normal due to the recent rainfall, portions of North Florida are still under a long-term rainfall deficit (60-90 days) and drought conditions will persist. Additionally, rainfall chances will remain very low over the next week, or longer, which may lead to a resumption of deteriorating drought conditions.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 399 (+3) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 12 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no organized risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across Florida. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.61 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.13 feet below normal for this time of year.
