Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Saturday, February 7, 2026
...Sunny and Dry Day Expected Statewide as High Pressure Settles into the Region... Critically Low Relative Humidities and Breezy Winds to Bring Elevated Wildfire Conditions Statewide... Seasonable High Temperatures in the 60s and 70s... Dry Conditions Prevail Overnight... Freeze Products in Effect Across Northeast Florida for Freezing Temperatures Tonight... Patchy Frost Likely Across North Florida... Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents for all Statewide Beaches...
Updated at 9:44 AM EST
Today's Threats:
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No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
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Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Coastal Flooding |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Wind Chills (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
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Statewide
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Northeast FL North FL
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Locally North FL
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Panhandle West Coast East Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Another sunny, dry, and pleasant day is on tap for the Sunshine State as high pressure settles across the region. A very dry airmass will filter across the entire state this afternoon with critically low relative humidities expected statewide. Paired with a few breezy wind gusts upwards of 20-25 mph, elevated wildfire conditions are expected across much of the state, especially given the very dry background conditions and ongoing drought. Locally critical wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out in areas under the most severe drought that see occasionally higher wind gusts.
A dry frontal passage this morning will keep high temperatures slightly cooler across North Florida this afternoon, only reaching the lower to middle 60s. Across Central and South Florida, highs will reach the upper 60s to middle 70s.
Dry conditions will continue to prevail overnight. Winds will quickly subside early this evening as relative humidities also recover, which will reduce the wildfire risk overnight. Temperatures will cool off tonight under clear skies and calm winds. Lows will reach the upper 20s to lower 30s across North Florida tonight and a Freeze Warning is in effect for portions of Northeast Florida, mainly along and north of the I-10 corridor. A Freeze Watch remains in effect for areas south of the I-10 corridor across Northeast Florida and the Suwannee River Valley. Instances of patchy frost may develop across much of North Florida tonight. Lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s is expected across Central Florida, and middle 40s to middle 50s in South Florida.
Rip Currents: Breezy winds and elevated surf will continue to bring a high risk for rip currents for most Panhandle and West Coast beaches today. A moderate risk is expected for Nature Coast beaches. Along the East Coast, a moderate risk for rip currents is also expected to persist this afternoon. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Wave heights of 2-4’ is expected for all statewide beaches this afternoon as breezy winds linger and surf remains elevated. Locally higher waves upwards of 6’ are possible along Treasure Coast beaches. Tonight, waves will slowly decrease for Panhandle and West Coast beaches back down to 1-3’. However, East Coast beaches will increase to 3-5’. Locally lower waves are expected for the south facing Florida Keys shorelines.
Red Tide was observed at background concentrations in Okaloosa County, background to low concentrations in Bay County, and background to very low concentrations in Gulf County. Along the Florida East Coast, red tide was observed at very low concentrations from Palm Beach County. It was not observed in Southwest Florida over the past week (valid 2/6/2026).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding today.
Fire Weather: Dry conditions will continue to filter across the state today amidst breezy northwesterly winds. Winds gusts upwards of 20-25 mph are expected with these winds statewide which, paired with critically low relative humidities (20-30% RH values), may bring elevated to locally critical wildfire conditions this afternoon across the state. Local Red Flag conditions could be met in areas experiencing the most severe drought and under the breeziest winds. Relative humidities will recover later this evening and overnight as winds begin to subside, which will quickly reduce the overall wildfire risk into the nighttime hours. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 91 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 3,276 acres.
Drought (2/5/26): Over the past 10 days, a few cold fronts have brought scattered showers to portions of the state with some light rainfall. However, rainfall totals have remained very meager, at best, and have been unable to truly alleviate the ongoing drought conditions. As such, we have seen further deterioration of drought across much of the state in this week’s Drought Monitor outlook. Across North Florida, rainfall totals of 1-2” were found across the western Panhandle, yet these totals were still not enough to bring much drought relief. The I-10 corridor also saw some light rain, with totals around 0.5-0.75”. However, very dry conditions filtered into the state in the wake of the frontal passages which quickly dried out any soils and grounds. This has resulted in worsening drought and expansion of the extreme drought (level 3 of 4) across Madison, Hamilton, Columbia, and Suwannee counties. This extreme drought remains in place across much of the Suwannee River Valley, Nature Coast, and northern Big Bend. A severe drought (level 2 of 4) occupies much of the rest of North Florida, the exception being the far western Panhandle where a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) is still in place. 60-day rainfall departures are still well below normal across all this region, and in some places upwards of 7” below normal. Worsening drought was also found across Central and South Florida in the past week. New areas of extreme drought (level 3 of 4) have been added to portions of coastal West-Central Florida in Manatee, Sarasota, Hardee, DeSoto, and Highlands counties, as well as interior mainland Monroe County in South Florida. The drought in this portion of the state has now begun to become a longer-term concern, with 3-month rainfall departures nearly 4-6” across all Central and South Florida. Additional expansion of the severe drought (level 2 of 4) was added across coastal Indian River and Brevard counties along the East Coast. Across the entire state, streamflows are running well below normal in many rivers, streams, and creeks. Additionally, soil moisture levels are at extremely low levels. Some light rainfall with a few frontal passages are possible this week and next week, however there does not appear to be any real relief coming from the drought. As of this outlook, over 95% of the state is under a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) or worse.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 476 (-2) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 33 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no organized risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across Florida. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 12.65 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.97 feet below normal for this time of year.
