Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Wednesday, January 21, 2026
...One Last Freeze and Frost this Morning for Northeast Florida for the Next Few Days...Pleasant Conditions Expected Statewide As Temperatures Gradually Warm Up...Brief Showers Possible Along the Southeast Florida Coast...Temperatures Return to the 60s and 70s This Afternoon...Mostly Dry Conditions Continue Tonight With Showers Extending Along Treasure Coast...Patchy Fog Possible for Northeast Florida Early In the AM...High Risk for Much of East Coast; Moderate Risk Along North Florida Beaches...
Updated at 08:58 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Fog (Overnight) |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Wind Chill (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
|
Locally Statewide |
Northeast Florida |
East Coast North FL West Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
The last of the Freeze Warnings and Frost Advisories across interior Northeast Florida will be allowed to expire at 9:00 AM EST. Another pleasant day and near repeat of yesterday can be expected for the Sunshine State. High pressure overhead will continue to bring a mixture of sunshine and cloud cover, but mostly dry conditions. A frontal boundary to the south of the Keys, as well as breezy onshore winds, will bring brief showers onshore along the Southeast Florida coastline and the Keys throughout the day (10-20% chance of rain). Breezy wind gusts of 15-20 mph can be expected across the Peninsula, but the strongest gusts of 20-25 mph will continue across South Florida.
High temperatures will reach the 60s and 70s throughout the state this afternoon.
Mostly dry and calm conditions can be expected for much of the state overnight. Increasing moisture will help to increase shower activity along the Treasure Coast and Southeast Florida coast this evening and overnight (10-30% chance of rain). Enough moisture may be capable to squeeze out some sprinkles or a shower or two along the far western Panhandle. Instances of patchy fog will be possible early Thursday morning along portions of Northeast Florida.
For the first time in several days, low temperatures will finally be above freezing across the state. Low temperatures will be in the middle to upper 40s for North Florida, middle 50s to lower 60s for Central Florida and 60s to near 70-degrees for South Florida.
Rip Currents: A high risk for rip currents extends along most of the East Coast due to onshore winds and lingering surf. North Florida beaches can expect a moderate risk. West Coast beaches will return to a low risk. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Hazardous surf of 6-9’ extends along the Southeast Florida coast, which will slowly decline this evening and overnight. The rest of the East Coast will see elevated surf near 3-5’ throughout the day. Panhandle and West Coast beaches can expected to see surf of 1-3’.
Red Tide was observed at background to medium concentrations in Bay and Gulf counties and background to very low concentrations in Franklin and Walton counties. In Southwest Florida, red tide was also observed at background concentrations in Sarasota and Charlotte counties and offshore Collier County. It was observed at low concentrations offshore Monroe County. It was not observed along the East Coast (valid 1/16/2026).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding across Florida.
Fire Weather: Mostly dry conditions will persist across the state throughout the day with a chance for showers along the Southeast Florida coast. Dry air will allow for relative humidity values to approach critical thresholds across interior portions of the Big Bend and the Suwannee Valley. Moisture will gradually increase with warming temperatures over the next few days. Lingering breezy winds will continue across the Peninsula, but especially South Florida where wind gusts of 20-25 mph are expected. Instances of patchy fog may develop early Thursday morning along a portion of Northeast Florida. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 39 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 1881 acres.
Drought (1/15/26): Although some rainfall fell across portions of the state in the last week, totals were meager and expansion of much of the drought was seen in the past week’s drought monitor outlook. Rainfall totals were well below 1” across the Panhandle, which wasn’t enough to relieve the very dry soil conditions. Additionally, streamflows continue to diminish to below normal thresholds. As such, a severe drought (level 2 of 4) was expanded to include much of the Panhandle, with only the far western portions remaining in moderate drought (level 1 of 4). The ongoing extreme drought (level 3 of 4) over the northern Big Bend was slightly expanded this week to include additional portions of Calhoun, Jackson, and Jefferson counties. Rainfall totals over the last week were slim, at best, across the I-10 corridor. A severe drought (level 2 of 4) remains in place along the northern portion of the I-75 corridor and Suwannee River Valley. Additional expansion of the severe drought (level 2 of 4) was introduced to West-Central and Southwest Florida where warm and dry conditions have prevailed. Although coastal Southeast Florida saw some coastal showers with rainfall totals upwards of 2”, the developing drought has resulted in additional severe drought across interior Miami-Dade and Monroe counties. As of this drought monitor outlook, over 91% of the state is under a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) or worse.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 467 (+1) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 29 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across Florida. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.00 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.71 feet below normal for this time of year.
