Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Monday, March 30, 2026
...Isolated to Widely Scattered Showers Statewide Today... A Locally Heavy Downpour Cannot be Ruled Out... Breezy Conditions Persist Along the I-95 Corridor and South Florida... Sensitive to Locally Elevated Wildfire Conditions Remain Statewide... Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents for all Panhandle and East Coast Beaches...High Surf Advisory in Effect for Treasure Coast for Surf of 6-10'... Minor
Updated at 9:12 AM EDT
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Flash Flooding |
Fog (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
|
Locally East-Central & South FL |
Locally Northeast FL Statewide |
|
Iso. Southeast & East-Central FL |
Western Panhandle & Northeast FL Central FL |
East Coast & Panhandle West Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Moist south and east flow around an area of high pressure over the western Atlantic will continue to promote spotty chances for showers and thunderstorms today across much of the Peninsula. A few onshore moving showers are ongoing this morning across South Florida, and coverage will increase this afternoon across South and Central Florida with the east coast sea breeze (35-50% chance of rain). An isolated shower or even embedded thunderstorm cannot be ruled out further north across North Florida (15-25% chance of rain). Much of this activity is expected to diminish shortly after sunset, though some showers may linger along the Southeast coastline overnight (15-20% chance of rain). There is no organized risk for severe weather or flash flooding today, however any of this activity across the Peninsula could bring an occasional lightning strike or two and locally heavy downpour capable of producing a quick 1-3” of rain. This onshore flow will be accompanied by breezy wind gusts upwards of 25 mph along the I-95 corridor with locally higher gusts upwards of 30 mph across Southeast Florida. Relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds today, though ongoing drought will keep locally sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions in place.
High temperatures will reach the middle 70s to lower 80s throughout much of the state this afternoon. Lows will reach the upper 50s to middle 60s throughout North Florida and middle 60s to lower 70s in Central and South Florida. With plentiful moisture sticking around overnight, areas of fog and low clouds are possible, especially throughout North and West-Central Florida. The greatest chances for locally dense fog will be across the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida.
Rip Currents: Breezy to windy conditions will maintain rough surf and dangerous swimming conditions to many Florida coastlines. A moderate to high risk of rip currents can be expected for all Florida Panhandle and East Coast beaches, with low risk conditions residing along the Florida West Coast. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Dangerous beach and marine conditions continue along the Florida East Coast today, with High Surf Advisories remaining in effect along the Treasure Coast. Wave heights of 6-8’ persist at Atlantic Coast beaches, with locally higher breakers upwards of 10’ possible along the southern Space Coast and Treasure Coast. Wave heights of 1-3’ continue for most Florida Gulf Coast beaches, with locally higher wave heights of 4’ possible for the western Florida Panhandle coastline.
Red Tide was observed at background concentrations in and offshore Okaloosa, Walton, Bay, and Gulf counties. It was also observed at very low concentrations in Brevard County (valid 3/27/26).
Coastal Flooding: Strong onshore winds and high surf along the Florida East Coast will allow for instances of minor beach erosion at or near times of high tide today.
Fire Weather: Moist onshore flow around an area of high pressure over the western Atlantic will continue to bring plentiful low-level moisture throughout the state, keeping relative humidities above critical thresholds. However, sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions continue statewide, courtesy of breezy easterly winds and ongoing severe to extreme drought. Wind speeds of 10-20 mph look to develop through the day throughout the Florida Peninsula, with wind gusts of 20-25 mph likely along the immediate coast. Locally higher wind gusts reaching upwards of 30 mph will be possible across Southeast Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible in Central and South Florida regions this afternoon; thunderstorms may be capable of producing lightning strikes and gusty winds which may lead to new ignitions or erratic spread, respectively. Tonight, areas of patchy to locally dense fog are possible throughout the western Panhandle and Northeast Florida. Fog may significantly reduce visibilities in the vicinity of active wildfires. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 63 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 4,158 acres.
Drought (3/26/26): Very little in the way of any beneficial or meaningful rainfall was observed over the past week across the state with status quo drought conditions continuing. The heaviest rainfall over the past week was observed along the immediate Southeast Florida coastline and portions of East-Central Florida with totals upwards of 1-3”. However, these totals were very localized with many locations seeing little to no rain. Widespread severe (level 2 of 4) to extreme drought (level 3 of 4) continues nearly statewide, with the largest change occurring across the Big Bend region. Exceptional (level 4 of 4) drought has been expanded across much of the I-10 corridor across the Big Bend and into the eastern Panhandle throughout northern Calhoun, Liberty, Gadsden, northern Leon, Jefferson, Madison, Hamilton, Suwannee, Gilchrist, Columbia, and Union counties. Record low streamflows and precipitation deficits of 5-8” persist. Soil moisture levels deep into the ground have also worsened and water management districts statewide remain under some water shortage advisory or warning. Looking ahead, a widespread drenching rainfall is not expected over the next week. Mostly dry conditions will continue throughout North Florida where the afternoon sea breezes will have less of an influence. Throughout the Peninsula, daily shower or thunderstorm activity may return starting this weekend, though activity will be scattered in coverage and drought conditions are not expected to improve.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 480 (-3) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 30 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no organized risk for flash flooding across Florida today. Isolated to widely scattered showers will continue throughout the Peninsula today, some of which could be locally heavy and capable of producing a quick 1-3” of rainfall. Areas of cannot be ruled out, especially in urban and low-lying/poor drainage locations. localized flooding and ponding of water.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across Florida. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 12.00 feet, which is within the operational band and is 2.32 feet below normal for this time of year.
