Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Sunday, November 30, 2025
...Coastal Showers This Morning Across South Florida...Approachiing Frontal Boundary to Bring Another Chance for Isolated Showers Along the Panhandle; Embedded Thunderstorm Possible Near the Coast...Onshore Winds Along I-95 Corridor to Bring Isolated Showers Inland; Isolated Thunderstorms Possible Across South Florida...Warming Temperatures Expected...Drier Conditions Return Overnight Statewide...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents Along Panhandle and Atlantic Beaches...Lingering Ocean Swells Along Southeast Florida Coast...
Updated at 9:22 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Fog (Overnight) |
Coastal Flooding |
Rip Currents |
|
Iso. South Florida Coastal Panhandle |
North Florida West-Central FL |
Iso. Panhandle & Big Bend |
E. Panhandle & Southeast FL Panhandle & Atlantic Coast West Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Coastal showers have already developed this morning near the Panhandle and across South Florida this morning. High pressure over the eastern U.S. will shift eastward off the coast ahead of the next frontal system approaches. Easterly to southeasterly winds will help to bring moisture back across the state, which will bring a chance for showers along the Panhandle and along the I-95 corridor this afternoon and evening as a warm front lifts northward (15-35% chance of rain). There may be a chance for an embedded thunderstorm or two along the coast of the Panhandle as well as across South Florida this afternoon. Breezy wind gusts of 20-25 mph will continue along portions of South Florida and the Keys today, and these winds will be weaker compared to yesterday. For the rest of the state, mostly dry and sunny conditions can be expected to continue.
High temperatures this afternoon will return to the 70s across North Florida and lower 80s across Central and South Florida. Portions of West-Central Florida will reach the middle 80s this afternoon.
Shower activity will linger through the evening hours before dissipating nearly statewide overnight despite the frontal boundary approaching. A few light sprinkles or showers might try to develop near sunrise across the Big Bend (10-20% chance of rain). Some patchy fog may try to develop overnight and early Monday morning.
Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 7 days in the Atlantic basin.
For the latest on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at www.hurricanes.gov.
Rip Currents: A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected for Panhandle and Atlantic Coast beaches. All West Coast beaches will return to a low risk. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Wave heights will slowly decline throughout the day along the Atlantic Coast but will still reach 4-6’ this morning through the afternoon. Panhandle and West Coast beaches will see wave heights of 1-3’.
Red Tide was observed at background to medium concentrations along Bay and Gulf counties along the coastlines. Low concentrations were observed offshore from Franklin county. Background conditions will were observed along coastal Pinellas and Lee County.
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding today.
Fire Weather: Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds across the state ahead of a cold front pushing eastward. This front will bring a chance for showers and isolated thunderstorms closer towards the Panhandle coast. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning and erratic winds. Winds out of the east to southeast will continue to bring moisture northward across the state helping to create relative humidity values above critical thresholds. These winds will remain light, but lingering elevated wind gusts of 15-20 mph will continue across South Florida and the Keys. Sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions will persist for northern Florida with the expanding drought conditions. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 72 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 684 acres.
Drought:The past week was almost entirely dry across the entire Sunshine State as temperatures warmed to above seasonable levels. As such, no improvements were made to this week’s Drought Monitor and further degradation was seen. Across South Florida, Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was introduced across interior Collier, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties with expansion of Abnormally Dry (emerging drought) towards the Southeast coastline. Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was also introduced across Lee, Charlotte, Hendry, and Glades county, as well as around Lake Okeechobee where rainfall departures from the past month have neared 2-3 inches. Moderate Drought remains in place across much of West-Central Florida with further expansion into Polk county and northward along the entire Nature Coast. Rainfall departures from the past 60 days have grown to 4-6 inches across West-Central Florida. Across North Florida, Severe (level 2 of 4) to Extreme (level 3 of 4) have remained in place, with expansion southeastward of the Extreme Drought into much of Suwannee, Columbia, and western Baker County. Severe Drought was also added to much of the Forgotten Coast along Taylor and Dixie counties. An Exceptional Drought (level 4 of 4) was introduced to northern Gadsden, Leon, and Jefferson counties where streamflows have reached very low levels, vegetation has become very dry, and agricultural impacts have worsened. This is the first Exceptional Drought seen in the state of Florida since February 2012. Long-term rainfall departures continue to decline across the Panhandle, and significant rainfall is not expected over the next week as temperatures remain above seasonable levels. As such, worsening drought conditions are expected over the next week across much of the state.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 525 (+2) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 44 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger). Calhoun and Leon counties both have KBDI values over 700.
Flash Flooding: Flash flooding is not expected across Florida.
Riverine Flooding: Water levels at the headwaters of the St. Johns above Lake Harney remain at Action Stage (bank-full) this morning, though continue to slowly discharge. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.65 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.20 feet below normal for this time of year.
