Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Wednesday, February 11, 2026
...Foggy Conditions Throughout the Morning Hours...Brief Showers this Morning Across the I-10 Corridor...Dry Conditions Throughout the Peninsula...Elevated Winds Return to North Florida Ahead of Weak Cold Front Moving in Tonight...Another Round of Showers for Northeast Florida This Evening...Fog Development Likely Nearly Statewide Tonight and Thursday Morning - Locally Dense Fog Possible...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents Persists for East Coast...
Updated at 10:12 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Coastal Flooding |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Fog (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
|
Northeast FL & Interior Peninsula Statewide
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Locally Statewide Northeast FL |
East-Central & Southeast Florida North Florida West Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Foggy conditions across the state will gradually lift and dissipate across the state throughout the morning. Dense Fog Advisories will remain in effect along the Panhandle and portions of the Big Bend through the mid-morning hours. After a cool start, temperatures will warm up nicely leading to pleasant conditions courtesy of high pressure sitting over the state. A mixture of sunshine and cloud cover and a near-zero chance of rain can be expected across the state today from high pressure conditions. While low level moisture continues to slowly increase, pockets of near to below critical relative humidity values (25-35%) can be expected across Northeast Florida and extending into the interior Peninsula this afternoon. The ongoing drought and recent very dry couple of days will contribute to an elevated wildfire risk.
High temperatures will be in the upper 60s to upper 70s, with interior portions of the Peninsula approaching 80-degrees.
Calm and dry conditions will persist into the overnight hours across the state as high pressure remains locked in place. Low-level moisture moving onshore and inland from the coastal waters, along with calm winds will allow for fog development overnight and into Tuesday morning. Instances of dense fog will be possible. Foggy conditions combined with ongoing smoke from wildfires will further reduce visibilities, and caution should be advised during the morning commute.
Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to upper 50s throughout the state, with the Southeast Florida coastline reaching the lower 60s.
Rip Currents: Lighter winds and declining ocean swells will allow Panhandle beaches to return to a moderate risk. Lingering long-period ocean swells along the East Coast will continue to create a moderate to high risk for rip currents. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Calm marine conditions continue to gradually return across the state; however, elevated surf upwards of 3’ will linger along the East Coast. The largest wave action will remain along the Treasure Coast.
Red Tide was observed at background concentrations in Okaloosa County, background to low concentrations in Bay County, and background to very low concentrations in Gulf County. Along the Florida East Coast, red tide was observed at very low concentrations from Palm Beach County. It was not observed in Southwest Florida over the past week (valid 2/6/2026).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding today.
Fire Weather: Foggy conditions and low clouds can be expected throughout the morning hours as it slowly lifts and dissipates. Mostly dry conditions can be expected for much of the state again; however, an upper-level feature looks to bring a few brief showers over the I-10 corridor throughout the day. Relative humidity values across the interior Peninsula look to remain near critical thresholds (35-45%); however, locally they could fall below this afternoon. Southwesterly winds near 5-10 mph can be expected across the state throughout the day, with wind gusts reaching 10-15 across North and Central Florida. Late this afternoon, stronger winds gusts upwards of 20 mph cannot be ruled out within the Suwannee Valley. Another round of scattered fog can be expected to develop overnight and into Thursday morning throughout the state. Instances of locally dense fog cannot be ruled out by sunrise. Foggy conditions combined with wildfire smoke will lead to reduced visibilities. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 135 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 6,731 acres.
Drought (2/5/26): Over the past 10 days, a few cold fronts have brought scattered showers to portions of the state with some light rainfall. However, rainfall totals have remained very meager, at best, and have been unable to truly alleviate the ongoing drought conditions. As such, we have seen further deterioration of drought across much of the state in this week’s Drought Monitor outlook. Across North Florida, rainfall totals of 1-2” were found across the western Panhandle, yet these totals were still not enough to bring much drought relief. The I-10 corridor also saw some light rain, with totals around 0.5-0.75”. However, very dry conditions filtered into the state in the wake of the frontal passages which quickly dried out any soils and grounds. This has resulted in worsening drought and expansion of the extreme drought (level 3 of 4) across Madison, Hamilton, Columbia, and Suwannee counties. This extreme drought remains in place across much of the Suwannee River Valley, Nature Coast, and northern Big Bend. A severe drought (level 2 of 4) occupies much of the rest of North Florida, the exception being the far western Panhandle where a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) is still in place. 60-day rainfall departures are still well below normal across all this region, and in some places upwards of 7” below normal. Worsening drought was also found across Central and South Florida in the past week. New areas of extreme drought (level 3 of 4) have been added to portions of coastal West-Central Florida in Manatee, Sarasota, Hardee, DeSoto, and Highlands counties, as well as interior mainland Monroe County in South Florida. The drought in this portion of the state has now begun to become a longer-term concern, with 3-month rainfall departures nearly 4-6” across all Central and South Florida. Additional expansion of the severe drought (level 2 of 4) was added across coastal Indian River and Brevard counties along the East Coast. Across the entire state, streamflows are running well below normal in many rivers, streams, and creeks. Additionally, soil moisture levels are at extremely low levels. Some light rainfall with a few frontal passages are possible this week and next week, however there does not appear to be any real relief coming from the drought. As of this outlook, over 95% of the state is under a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) or worse.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 487 (+4) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 34 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no organized risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across Florida. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 12.64 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.96 feet below normal for this time of year.
