Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Friday, February 6, 2026
...2026 Severe Weather Awareness Week! Friday's Focus is on Temperature Extremes and Wildfires...
... Sunny and Dry Day Expected Statewide as High Pressure Begins to Settle into the Region... Critically Low Relative Humidities and Breezy Winds Expected Across Northeast and East-Central Florida... Red Flag Warning in Effect Until 6 PM EST... Seasonable High Temperatures in the 60s Statewide... Dry Conditions Prevail Overnight... Lows in the 40s and 50s Expected Across the State... Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents for all Statewide Beaches...
Updated at 9:50 AM EST
Today's Threats:
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No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
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Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Coastal Flooding |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Wind Chills (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
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Northeast & East-Central FL Statewide
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Panhandle West Coast Palm Beach County East Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
High pressure will begin to settle across the region today in the wake of yesterday’s cold front, welcoming a sunny and dry day across the Sunshine State. A much drier airmass will filter into the state today with relative humidities dipping to near or below critical thresholds (25-35% RH values) this afternoon across much of Northeast and East-Central Florida. Paired with breezy winds gusts upwards of 30 mph, this will lead to elevated to critical wildfire conditions. A Red Flag Warning is in effect for much of Northeast and East-Central Florida this afternoon until 6:00 PM EST for this critical wildfire risk. Although much of the rest of the state will see relative humidities remain well above critical thresholds, breezy wind gusts upwards of 25-30 mph may still lead to locally elevated wildfire conditions.
High temperatures this afternoon will reach the middle to upper 60s statewide, though will only feel like the upper 50s to lower 60s given elevated winds.
Dry conditions will continue to prevail overnight. Winds will begin to subside tonight across much of the state, though some gusts upwards of 20 mph will still linger. Relative humidities will quickly recover across the state though with the wildfire risk diminishing overnight. Low temperatures will reach the upper 30s to middle 40s throughout North Florida, upper 40s to lower 50s in Central Florida, and upper 40s to middle 50s in South Florida. Feels-like temperatures may approach the lower to middle 30s across the northern Big Bend and Panhandle by daybreak Saturday.
Rip Currents: Breezy winds and elevated surf will bring a moderate to high risk for rip currents for all Panhandle and West Coast beaches today. A moderate risk for rip currents is expected for most East Coast beaches, with a local high risk for Palm Beach County beaches where locally higher surf and onshore winds are expected. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Wave heights of 2-4’ is expected for all statewide beaches this afternoon as breezy winds and a building ocean swell keep the surf elevated. Locally higher waves upwards of 6’ are possible across Southeast Florida and the Treasure Coast. Tonight, waves will slowly increase with waves of 3-5’ expected for all statewide beaches. Locally lower waves are expected for the south facing Florida Keys shorelines.
Red Tide was observed at background to very low concentrations in Walton County, background to medium concentrations in Bay County, and low concentrations in Gulf County across the Panhandle. In Southwest Florida, red tide was observed at background to very low concentrations offshore Hillsborough and Lee County. Along the Florida East Coast, red tide was observed at background concentrations from Balm Beach County (valid 1/31/2026).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding today.
Fire Weather: Dry conditions will return statewide today in the wake of the cold frontal passage yesterday. Breezy winds will begin to develop this afternoon across much of the state, with wind gusts upwards of 30 mph expected. Paired with critically low relative humidities (25-30% RH values) and very little rainfall yesterday, elevated to critical wildfire conditions are expected this afternoon across Northeast and East-Central Florida where a Red Flag Warning is in effect until 6:00 PM EST. Although relative humidities will remain above critical thresholds across the remainder of the state today, still sensitive wildfire conditions are expected given the very dry background conditions. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 90 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 3,472 acres.
Drought (2/5/26): Over the past 10 days, a few cold fronts have brought scattered showers to portions of the state with some light rainfall. However, rainfall totals have remained very meager, at best, and have been unable to truly alleviate the ongoing drought conditions. As such, we have seen further deterioration of drought across much of the state in this week’s Drought Monitor outlook. Across North Florida, rainfall totals of 1-2” were found across the western Panhandle, yet these totals were still not enough to bring much drought relief. The I-10 corridor also saw some light rain, with totals around 0.5-0.75”. However, very dry conditions filtered into the state in the wake of the frontal passages which quickly dried out any soils and grounds. This has resulted in worsening drought and expansion of the extreme drought (level 3 of 4) across Madison, Hamilton, Columbia, and Suwannee counties. This extreme drought remains in place across much of the Suwannee River Valley, Nature Coast, and northern Big Bend. A severe drought (level 2 of 4) occupies much of the rest of North Florida, the exception being the far western Panhandle where a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) is still in place. 60-day rainfall departures are still well below normal across all this region, and in some places upwards of 7” below normal. Worsening drought was also found across Central and South Florida in the past week. New areas of extreme drought (level 3 of 4) have been added to portions of coastal West-Central Florida in Manatee, Sarasota, Hardee, DeSoto, and Highlands counties, as well as interior mainland Monroe County in South Florida. The drought in this portion of the state has now begun to become a longer-term concern, with 3-month rainfall departures nearly 4-6” across all Central and South Florida. Additional expansion of the severe drought (level 2 of 4) was added across coastal Indian River and Brevard counties along the East Coast. Across the entire state, streamflows are running well below normal in many rivers, streams, and creeks. Additionally, soil moisture levels are at extremely low levels. Some light rainfall with a few frontal passages are possible this week and next week, however there does not appear to be any real relief coming from the drought. As of this outlook, over 95% of the state is under a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) or worse.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 478 (-5) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 33 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no organized risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across Florida. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 12.67 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.95 feet below normal for this time of year.
