Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Friday, November 28, 2025
...Chilly Start this Morning Across North and Central Florida...Sunshine Filled Skies Today and Dry Conditions Return Statewide...Elevated to Locally Dangerous Wildfire Conditions Continue for North Florida...Sensitive to Elevated Wildfire Conditions Extend into West-Central Florida...Clear and Dry Conditions Overnight...Feels-Like Temperatures Dipping into Upper 20s to Upper 30s Across North Florida...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents Persist Nearly Statewide...Dangerous Ocean Swells Extend Across the Peninsula...
Updated at 8:44 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Fog (Overnight) |
Coastal Flooding |
Rip Currents |
|
Locally North Florida West-Central FL |
Iso. I-10 Corridor |
West Coast & South Florida Statewide |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
A chilly start this morning, especially across North and Central Florida, can be expected with a gradual warm up throughout the day. Freeze Warnings across the Suwannee Valley will be allowed to expire at 9:00 AM EST this morning as conditions slowly warm up. Plenty of sunshine can be expected across the state today with dry condition returning statewide. Elevated to locally dangerous wildfire conditions can be expected across North Florida today as relative humidity values will fall below critical thresholds (15-25%) this afternoon with slightly elevated wind gusts upwards of 15-20 mph. Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will extend into West-Central and even portions of Southwest Florida where relative humidity value will fall near and below critical thresholds (25-35%).
Dry conditions and clear skies can be expected to persist into the overnight hours throughout the state.
High temperatures will keep to the upper 50s to lower 60s across North Florida, middle to upper 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s across South Florida this afternoon.
Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 30s throughout interior North Florida and the lower 40s along the coast, 40s to middle 50s across Central Florida, upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida and the Keys overnight. Feels-like temperatures will fall into the lower to middle 30s across much of North Florida, especially closer inland. Isolated locations and more shaded areas could see feels-like temperatures in the upper 20s. Along the coast and extending into the Suwannee Valley feels-like temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 30s.
Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 7 days in the Atlantic basin.
For the latest on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at www.hurricanes.gov.
Rip Currents: Breezy northerly winds and large ocean swells will lead to a moderate to high risk for rip currents nearly statewide. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Large ocean swells of 4-7’ can be expected through the late afternoon hours across numerous Peninsula beaches with larger breaking waves upwards of 8-9’ along Southeast Florida beaches. Panhandle and Big Bend beaches will see calmer wave action near 2-3’.
Red Tide was observed at background to medium concentrations along Bay and Gulf counties along the coastlines. Low concentrations were observed offshore from Franklin county. Background conditions will were observed along coastal Pinellas and Lee County.
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding today.
Fire Weather: Elevated wildfire conditions will develop again across North Florida today as relative humidity values fall below critical thresholds (15-25%) and as wind gusts reach upwards of 15 mph at times this afternoon. Locally dangerous wildfire conditions cannot be ruled out across portions of North Florida given the expanding drought conditions and growing rainfall deficits. Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will extend into West-Central Florida where relative humidity values will fall below critical thresholds (25-30%) this afternoon. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 61 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 492 acres.
Drought:The past week was almost entirely dry across the entire Sunshine State as temperatures warmed to above seasonable levels. As such, no improvements were made to this week’s Drought Monitor and further degradation was seen. Across South Florida, Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was introduced across interior Collier, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties with expansion of Abnormally Dry (emerging drought) towards the Southeast coastline. Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was also introduced across Lee, Charlotte, Hendry, and Glades county, as well as around Lake Okeechobee where rainfall departures from the past month have neared 2-3 inches. Moderate Drought remains in place across much of West-Central Florida with further expansion into Polk county and northward along the entire Nature Coast. Rainfall departures from the past 60 days have grown to 4-6 inches across West-Central Florida. Across North Florida, Severe (level 2 of 4) to Extreme (level 3 of 4) have remained in place, with expansion southeastward of the Extreme Drought into much of Suwannee, Columbia, and western Baker County. Severe Drought was also added to much of the Forgotten Coast along Taylor and Dixie counties. An Exceptional Drought (level 4 of 4) was introduced to northern Gadsden, Leon, and Jefferson counties where streamflows have reached very low levels, vegetation has become very dry, and agricultural impacts have worsened. This is the first Exceptional Drought seen in the state of Florida since February 2012. Long-term rainfall departures continue to decline across the Panhandle, and significant rainfall is not expected over the next week as temperatures remain above seasonable levels. As such, worsening drought conditions are expected over the next week across much of the state.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average f for Florida is 523 (-2) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 44 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger). Calhoun and Leon counties both have KBDI values over 700.
Flash Flooding: Flash flooding is not expected across Florida.
Riverine Flooding: Water levels at the headwaters of the St. Johns above Lake Harney remain at Action Stage (bank-full) this morning, though continue to slowly discharge. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.71 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.16 feet below normal for this time of year.
