Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Sunday, April 13, 2025
...Dry and Pleasant Conditions Statewide...Elevated Wildfire Threat Throughout Suwannee Valley and Peninsula with Critical Relative Humidity Values; Sensitive Conditions Across Panhandle...Calmer Winds to Limit Red Flag Conditions this Afternoon...Temperatures in 70s and Lower 80s...Calm and Dry Conditions Persist Overnight...Cool Morning on Monday to Continue Throughout North and Central Florida...Moderate Risk for Rip Currents Nearly Statewide...Several Panhandle River Remain within Action Stage (Bank-Full) But Continue to Decline...
Updated at 8:51 AM EDT
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Flash Flooding |
River Flooding |
Wildfire |
Fog (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
|
|
Suwannee Valley, Northeast Florida & Peninsula Panhandle |
Statewide |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
High pressure across the Southeast U.S. will bring pleasant and dry conditions to the Sunshine State. A near-zero chance of rain can be expected throughout the day, and skies will be filled with plenty of sunshine. With drier conditions, relative humidity values will drop near and below critical thresholds this afternoon statewide, with the lowest values across the I-75 corridor and Suwannee Valley (15-30%). Calmer winds near 5-10 mph can be expected today, and gusts will remain below Red Flag Conditions; however, the sea breeze developing along the East Coast will create locally gusty winds upwards of 15 mph this afternoon. With these conditions, sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions can be expected across the state. Dry and calm conditions can be expected overnight as a near-zero chance of rain persists.
High temperatures will warm up into the middle to upper 70s and lower 80s this afternoon. Sea breezes developing along the coast will help to keep coastal areas slightly cooler compared to interior areas throughout the state. Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 40s and lower 50s across North Florida, middle 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida overnight.
Rip Currents: A low to moderate risk for rip currents can be expected across much of the state today. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Lingering wave heights near 2-3’ will persist along the East Coast, with possible breaking waves in the surf zone upwards of 4’ off Treasure Coast beaches. Panhandle and Gulf Coast beaches can expect surf conditions to reach 1-2’.
Red Tide has not been observed above background levels over the past week (valid 4/11).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding today.
Fire Weather: Dry conditions can be expected to persist across the Sunshine State allowing for relative humidity values to drop near and well-below critical thresholds this afternoon, especially throughout the Suwannee Valley. Throughout interior regions across the state relative humidity values will fall near 15-30% this afternoon, with the lowest values along the I-75 corridor and throughout the Suwannee Valley. Coastal areas and South Florida will see higher values due to proximity of water and onshore winds that develop from the sea breeze. Light winds near 5-10 mph will develop throughout the day and wind gusts will reach upwards of 10 mph, with slightly stronger wind gusts upwards of 15 mph along the immediate East Coast. Due to lower wind speeds compared to the last couple of days, Red Flag Conditions are not expected. Sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions will develop throughout the afternoon statewide, with the more elevated threat throughout the interior Peninsula due to ongoing drought conditions. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 57 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 1342 acres.
Drought: During the past week, above normal temperatures and light-to-moderate rainfall accumulations were observed across the region, with the heaviest accumulations (ranging from 5-8”) occurring in the Florida Panhandle. Conversely, short-term dryness (3-6” of rainfall deficits during the past 60-day period) in East-Central Florida led to the expansion on Severe Drought and Moderate Drought areas (along and north of the I-4 corridor) in this week’s Drought Monitor update (valid 4/10). Abnormally Dry (Emerging Drought) to Moderate Drought conditions remain relatively unchanged across the rest of the Peninsula with a pocket of with another pocket of Severe Drought across much of South Florida. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) is outlooking above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall across the Peninsula over the next week or so which may lead to worsening drought conditions.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 355 (+1) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 18 Florida counties (Broward, Charlotte, Collier, DeSoto, Glades, Hardee, Hendry, Lake, Lee, Manatee, Martin, Miami-Dade, Monroe, Palm Beach, Pasco, Sarasota, Sumter, and Volusia) with an average KBDI over 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: The Apalachicola River near Blountstown has fallen below flood stage but remains within Action Stage (bank-full). Several other rivers and creeks across the Panhandle also remain within Action Stage as water levels continue to gradually decline. A drier pattern setting up across the region will allow for water levels to continue to decline through the next few days. There are no additional riverine concerns at this time. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 12.15 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.90 feet below normal for this time of year.
