Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Monday, January 19, 2026
...Cold and Crisp Start to the Day Across the State...Dry Conditions and Plenty of Sunshine Expected Statewide...Cooler Than Normal Day, But Pleasant...Near and Below Critical Thresholds Almost Statewide - Sensitive to Locally Elevated Wildfire Risk...Lingering Breezy Wind Gusts of 15-20 MPH Across the Peninsula...Clear and Cold Night Again...Freeze Warnings Expected for Northeast and Interior Portions of Central Florida Tonight...Sub-Freezing Temperatures Approaching I-4 Corridor Overnight...Wind Chills in the 20s and 30s for Much of the State - Cold Weather Advisories Possible...Patchy to Widespread Frost for North Florida...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents...
Updated at 09:14 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning |
Tornado |
Damaging Wind/Hail |
Wildfire |
Fog (Overnight) |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Wind Chill (Overnight) |
Rip Currents |
|
Locally Statewide |
North FL & Interior Central FL Central Florida & Northern South FL |
Locally North Florida & Interior Central Florida South Florida (Lake Okeechobee) |
E. Panhandle & West Coast Panhandle & East Coast Northeast FL |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Temperatures in the 20s and 30s were felt across the Sunshine State this morning following yesterday’s potent cold front. Freeze Warnings and Cold Weather Advisories will remain in effect nearly statewide through the mid-morning hours as temperatures slowly warm up. Luckily, dry air and high pressure will lead to plenty of sunshine and a near-zero chance of rain statewide. This also means that relative humidity values across much of the state will fall near or below critical thresholds leading to sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions due to ongoing drought. Lingering breezy wind gusts of 15-20 mph will also persist throughout the daytime hours across the Peninsula
High temperatures will struggle in the 50s across North Florida this afternoon. Central and South Florida can expect to see temperatures warm up into the upper 50s to upper 60s.
Clear skies will allow for temperatures to cool off quickly tonight statewide but will be a touch warmer than last night. Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 20s for much of North Florida and lower 30s along the coasts to Nature Coast, middle 30s to lower 40s across Central Florida, and middle 40s to upper 50s across South Florida. Freeze Watches will become Freeze Warnings tonight for Northeast Florida and interior parts of Central Florida. Feels-like temperatures will fall into the 20s across North Florida again by sunrise Tuesday morning, upper 20s to middle 30s throughout Central Florida and upper 30s to middle 40s across northern portions of South Florida. Cold Weather Advisories may be needed again tonight for portions of North and Central Florida for dangerous sub-freezing wind chills. Patchy to widespread frost will likely develop across North Florida and into portions of Central Florida towards the I-4 corridor.
Rip Currents: Northwesterly winds and lingering ocean swells will create a moderate to high risk for rip currents nearly statewide. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Swells of 4-6’ will linger along numerous Peninsula beaches today, with larger breaking waves upwards of 7’ offshore from the Treasure Coast and Southeast Florida coast today. Panhandle beaches will see calmer wave action near 1-2’.
Red Tide was observed at background to medium concentrations in Bay and Gulf counties and background to very low concentrations in Franklin and Walton counties. In Southwest Florida, red tide was also observed at background concentrations in Sarasota and Charlotte counties and offshore Collier County. It was observed at low concentrations offshore Monroe County. It was not observed along the East Coast (valid 1/16/2026).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding across Florida.
Fire Weather: Much drier air will settle into the state after Sunday’s cold front that pushed through. Relative humidity values across West and interior Florida will lead to relative humidity values falling near or below critical thresholds by the afternoon hours. Winds will remain light near 5-10 mph throughout the day, with stronger wind gusts reaching 15-20 mph across the Peninsula. Sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions can be expected, especially across the Peninsula. The Panhandle received beneficial rainfall yesterday with the cold front passing through helping to provide moisture to the soil. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 35 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 1584 acres.
Drought (1/15/26): Although some rainfall fell across portions of the state in the last week, totals were meager and expansion of much of the drought was seen in the past week’s drought monitor outlook. Rainfall totals were well below 1” across the Panhandle, which wasn’t enough to relieve the very dry soil conditions. Additionally, streamflows continue to diminish to below normal thresholds. As such, a severe drought (level 2 of 4) was expanded to include much of the Panhandle, with only the far western portions remaining in moderate drought (level 1 of 4). The ongoing extreme drought (level 3 of 4) over the northern Big Bend was slightly expanded this week to include additional portions of Calhoun, Jackson, and Jefferson counties. Rainfall totals over the last week were slim, at best, across the I-10 corridor. A severe drought (level 2 of 4) remains in place along the northern portion of the I-75 corridor and Suwannee River Valley. Additional expansion of the severe drought (level 2 of 4) was introduced to West-Central and Southwest Florida where warm and dry conditions have prevailed. Although coastal Southeast Florida saw some coastal showers with rainfall totals upwards of 2”, the developing drought has resulted in additional severe drought across interior Miami-Dade and Monroe counties. As of this drought monitor outlook, over 91% of the state is under a moderate drought (level 1 of 4) or worse.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 477 (-4) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 31 Florida counties that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: There are no riverine concerns across Florida. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.09 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.62 feet below normal for this time of year.
