Current Weather Outlook
Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology
Tuesday, November 25, 2025
...Foggy Conditions Throughout the State this Morning to Clear Up...Mostly Dry Conditions Once Again...Chance for Isolated Showers Along East-Central Florida this Afternoon...Approaching Cold Front to Bring Isolated Showers or Embedded Thunderstorms Along Western Panhandle this Afternoon...Main Chance for Showers and Thunderstorms Will Arrive Overnight and Early Wednesday Morning Across the Panhandle...All Hazards of Severe Weather Possible...Another Round of Fog Possible Tonight and Early Wednesday Morning; Locally Dense Fog Possible...Moderate to High Risk for Rip Currents Along Panhandle and East Coast Beaches...
Updated at 9:38 AM EST
Today's Threats:
|
No Threat |
Low Threat |
Medium Threat |
High Threat |
|
Lightning (Overnight) |
Tornado (Overnight) |
Damaging Wind/Hail (Overnight) |
Wildfire |
Freeze (Overnight) |
Fog (Overnight) |
Coastal Flooding |
Rip Currents |
| Panhandle | Panhandle | Panhandle |
Locally I-10 Corridor North & West-Central Florida |
Locally Suwannee Valley Big Bend & Peninsula Statewide |
E. Panhandle Panhandle & East Coast West Coast |
Weather Summary for the Next 24 Hours:
Low clouds and foggy conditions across the state will continue to lift and dissipate throughout the state this morning. Another dry and warm day can be expected across the Sunshine State as high pressure shifts off the coast and towards the western Atlantic waters. Enough moisture and a weak sea breeze may allow for isolated brief showers along portions of the Space and Treasure Coasts this afternoon (10-20% chance of rain). Onshore winds will help to pull moisture northward across the Panhandle later this afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front sparking isolated to widely scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms for the westernmost Panhandle, west of US-331 (20-40% chance of rain).
High temperatures will reach the upper 70s to lower 80s throughout the state, with the Suwannee Valley and West Florida reaching the middle 80s this afternoon.
A few lingering showers may continue along East-Central Florida into the evening hours before dissipating and moving offshore (10-15% chance of rain). The cold front will move into the Panhandle this evening and overnight bringing the main round of scattered showers and thunderstorms (45-75% chance of rain). Favorable atmospheric and environmental conditions will allow for possible embedded strong to severe thunderstorms across the Panhandle. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather through daybreak on Wednesday for those embedded strong to severe thunderstorms. All hazards associated with severe weather, including lightning, damaging wind gusts (40-60 mph), an isolated tornado and large hail (upwards of 1”). A quick brief downpours cannot be ruled out within a stronger thunderstorm; however, widespread rains and intense downpours are not expected. Moisture and calm conditions ahead of the front will allow for scattered fog to develop overnight and early Wednesday morning from the Big Bend and extending throughout the Peninsula. A Dense Fog Advisory cannot be ruled out where locally dense fog conditions develop.
Low temperatures will fall into the upper 50s to upper 60s throughout the state, with portions of Southeast Florida and the Keys remaining in the lower to middle 70s.
Tropical cyclone activity is not expected during the next 7 days in the Atlantic basin.
For the latest on the tropics, please visit the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at www.hurricanes.gov.
Rip Currents: Winds shifting onshore ahead of the approaching cold front will create a moderate to high risk for rip currents along the Panhandle. East Coast beaches will see a moderate risk for rip currents. West Coast beaches will continue to see a low risk. For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit www.weather.gov/beach.
Marine Hazards: Wave heights across the state will remain calm near 1-2’ with Panhandle beaches seeing wave heights reaching 3’.
Red Tide was observed at background to low concentrations in Pinellas, Hillsborough, Lee, and Collier County in Southwest Florida. In Northwest Florida, it was observed at background to medium concentrations in Bay County, background to high concentrations in Gulf County, and low concentrations in Franklin County. Red tide was not observed in Southwest Florida or along the Florida East Coast over the past 7 days (valid 11/21).
Coastal Flooding: There is no risk for coastal flooding today.
Fire Weather: Foggy conditions and low clouds will slowly lift and dissipate this morning throughout the state. A weak sea breeze today will allow for brief showers to develop along portions of the Space and Treasure Coasts this afternoon and evening, but otherwise mostly dry conditions can be expected throughout the state. A cold front will approach the state today allowing for a few showers and embedded thunderstorms ahead of it along the western Panhandle this afternoon. The main broken line of showers and thunderstorms will move into the Panhandle tonight and into early Wednesday morning. Thunderstorms will be capable of producing frequent lightning and erratic winds. Another round of scattered fog and low clouds will be possible early Wednesday morning throughout the Big Bend and the Peninsula. According to the Florida Forest Service, there are 63 active wildfires across the state burning approximately 426 acres.
Drought:The past week was almost entirely dry across the entire Sunshine State as temperatures warmed to above seasonable levels. As such, no improvements were made to this week’s Drought Monitor and further degradation was seen. Across South Florida, Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was introduced across interior Collier, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties with expansion of Abnormally Dry (emerging drought) towards the Southeast coastline. Moderate Drought (level 1 of 4) was also introduced across Lee, Charlotte, Hendry, and Glades county, as well as around Lake Okeechobee where rainfall departures from the past month have neared 2-3 inches. Moderate Drought remains in place across much of West-Central Florida with further expansion into Polk county and northward along the entire Nature Coast. Rainfall departures from the past 60 days have grown to 4-6 inches across West-Central Florida. Across North Florida, Severe (level 2 of 4) to Extreme (level 3 of 4) have remained in place, with expansion southeastward of the Extreme Drought into much of Suwannee, Columbia, and western Baker County. Severe Drought was also added to much of the Forgotten Coast along Taylor and Dixie counties. An Exceptional Drought (level 4 of 4) was introduced to northern Gadsden, Leon, and Jefferson counties where streamflows have reached very low levels, vegetation has become very dry, and agricultural impacts have worsened. This is the first Exceptional Drought seen in the state of Florida since February 2012. Long-term rainfall departures continue to decline across the Panhandle, and significant rainfall is not expected over the next week as temperatures remain above seasonable levels. As such, worsening drought conditions are expected over the next week across much of the state.
The Keetch-Byram Drought Index average for Florida is 515 (+5) on a scale from 0 (very wet) to 800 (very dry). There are 44 Florida counties (Alachua, Baker, Bay, Bradford, Calhoun, Charlotte, Citrus, Clay, Columbia, DeSoto, Dixie, Duval, Franklin, Gadsden, Gilchrist, Gulf, Hamilton, Hardee, Hernando, Highlands, Hillsborough, Holmes, Jackson, Jefferson, Lafeyette, Lee, Leon, Levy, Liberty, Madison, Manatee, Nassau, Okaloosa, Pasco, Pinellas, Polk, Santa Rosa, Sarasota, Suwannee, Taylor, Union, Wakulla, Walton, and Washington) that have an average KBDI above 500 (drought/increased fire danger).
Flash Flooding: There is no risk for flash flooding today.
Riverine Flooding: The St. Johns River at Astor has finally returned to nominal background levels, though water levels at the headwaters of the St. Johns, including Lake Harney and Sanford, remain at Action Stage (bank-full) this morning. There are no other riverine concerns statewide. For more information, visit the River Forecast Center.
Lake Okeechobee’s average elevation is 13.76 feet, which is within the operational band and is 1.15 feet below normal for this time of year.
