Current Weather Outlook

Statewide weather outlook from Florida Division of Emergency Management Meteorology


Friday, September 20, 2019

...Scattered Showers and Storms Along the East Coast and in South Florida...Dangerous Rip Currents Continue at Atlantic and Western Panhandle Beaches...Minor Flooding Along the St. Johns River Today...Tropics Are Active, But No Immediate Threat to Florida...

Updated at 8:35 A.M. EDT

Hurricane Jerry, a Category 2 hurricane, is beginning to weaken as it encounters stronger wind shear. Jerry will continue moving west-northwest over the next couple days before turning northward on Sunday and Monday. This system does not pose a threat to Florida at this time but it should continue to be monitored.

(1) A tropical wave located just south of Haiti is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Conditions remain unfavorable for significant development as the system drifts slowly west-northwestward. This system has a 10% (low) chance of formation.

(2A tropical wave located about 700 miles east of the Windward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development is possible as the system quickly approaches the Windward Islands and eastern Caribbean Sea. This system has a 30% (low) chance of formation over the next 5 days.

(3) A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa this weekend, and conditions appear favorable for development thereafter. This system has a 70% (high) chance of formation during the next 5 days. The next name on the list is Karen.

For more information regarding the tropics please visit

Breezy easterly winds of 10-20 mph with gusts of 25-35 mph are expected across the Peninsula today, with the highest winds along the East Coast. A Lake Wind Advisory is in effect for East Central Florida through this evening. Additionally, with the easterly winds, scattered showers will be possible along the East Coast today. A few thunderstorms will also be possible in South Florida, mainly in the afternoon. The showers could occur at any time.

With the added cloud cover and breezy winds along the East Coast, highs will only reach the lower to middle 80s. Elsewhere in the state, dry, sunny weather is expected. High temperatures will be near normal for late September as they rise into the upper 80s. Lows will range from the middle 60s to lower 70s in North and Central Florida and middle to upper 70s in South Florida.

A River Flood Warning continues for the St. Johns River at Astor which is currently in minor flood stage and will remain there through the weekend. Minor flooding may occur at high tide today along the tidal St. Johns river and nearby tributaries. A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect today for Duval, Clay, Flagler, Putnam, and St. Johns County as tides are running 1-1.5’ above normal. For more information on specific rivers, please visit the Southeast River Forecast Center here.

Breezy east to northeast winds at 10-20 mph with gusts of 25-35 mph and swells from Humberto will result in a high risk of rip currents for all Atlantic beaches. A High Surf Advisory is in effect for all East Coast beaches from Palm Beach County northward. A moderate to high risk is expected in the Panhandle as waves build. All West Coast beaches will have a low risk. Wave heights will be 6-12’ at Atlantic beaches and 2-4’ in the Gulf.

Remember, always swim within sight of a lifeguard. Never swim alone. If caught in a rip current, swim parrallel to shore to Break the Grip of the Rip! Rip currents can still occur on low risk days! For the latest Rip Current Outlook, visit

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