RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 5th, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy fog across the Big Bend and Northeast Florida will quickly lift and dissipate after sunrise this morning.
- High pressure over the Carolina’s will dominate across the Sunshine State allowing for warm conditions to develop throughout the day.
- Plentiful heating will give way to the Atlantic and Gulf sea breeze boundaries to push inland and collide later this afternoon and evening creating isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Suwannee Valley, I-75 corridor and western Peninsula (25-55% chance of rain).
- While organized severe weather is not anticipated, stronger thunderstorms may be capable of producing lightning, locally gusty winds and heavy downpours at times.
- Ample moisture and daytime heating processes will give way to locally heavy downpours within shower and thunderstorm activity that may lead to localized instances of flooding and ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Rainfall totals of 1-2” can be expected within showers and thunderstorms, but locally higher totals upwards of 3” cannot be ruled out within any slow-moving or near stationary thunderstorms that produce heavy downpours.
- Patchy fog may be possible overnight and early Monday morning along the Big Bend, Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida due to calm conditions and residual moisture on the ground.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected for Panhandle, East-Central and Southeast Florida beaches due to onshore winds.
- The Santa Fe River at Three Rivers Estates continues to slowly fall through minor flood stage and will continue into the upcoming week.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, May 5th, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Increasing moisture and an upper-level disturbance dipping southward will give way to scattered to widespread showers and thunderstorms across the interior Big Bend and Suwannee Valley today and into tonight (35-65% chance of rain).
- Influences from the disturbance will interact with the afternoon Gulf and sea breezes to produce isolated to scattered showers throughout the rest of the state this afternoon that will linger into the early overnight hours (15-35% chance of rain).
- A few strong thunderstorms with lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), and heavy downpours cannot be ruled out during peak heating hours of the day.
- Locally heavy downpours may also lead to isolated instances of localized flooding and ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Another day of warm temperatures with highs in the middle 80s to low 90s and lows in the middle 60s to middle 70s.
- High risk for rip currents along Southeast and several Big Bend beaches with an elevated risk along all other East Coast and Panhandle beaches.
- Wind gusts of 15-25 mph possible at times with the afternoon sea breezes.
- Locally sensitive wildfire conditions persist along interior portions of Central Florida this afternoon.
- Patchy to locally dense fog possible across portions of North and Central Florida overnight and early Sunday morning.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, May 3, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Isolated showers and thunderstorms possible along sea breeze boundaries this afternoon (5-25% chance of rain).
- Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms possible across portions of North Florida as an upper-level disturbance approaches (10-25% chance of rain).
- Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out during the peak heating hours of the day.
- Locally heavy downpours may also lead to localized instances of ponding of water.
- High temperatures generally in the middle 80s to middle 90s.
- Wind gusts of 15-25 mph anticipated at times with the afternoon sea breezes.
- Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will be possible along West-Central Florida this afternoon as dry air remains settled across the region.
- High risk for rip currents along Southeast Coast with an elevated risk along all other East Coast and several Panhandle beaches.
- Isolated showers persist along the Suwannee Valley, South Florida, and Keys overnight (15-25% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures in the middle 60s to low 70s across North, Central, and Southwest Florida and middle to upper 70s across Southeast Florida and the Keys.
- Patchy to locally dense fog possible across North and Central Florida overnight and early Saturday morning.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Thursday, May 2nd, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Dense Fog Advisories in effect across the Florida Panhandle through the mid-morning hours.
- A few isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will likely develop today, primarily along the East Coast sea breeze, and shift inland and towards the West Coast this afternoon and evening (15-45% chance of rain).
- Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms producing gusty winds, small hail, and heavy downpours cannot be ruled out during peak heating hours of the day.
- Locally heavy downpours may also lead to localized instances of ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- High temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s across North and Central Florida and low to middle 80s across South Florida and the Keys.
- Wind gusts near 15-20 mph possible at times along sea breeze boundaries this afternoon.
- Emerging drought conditions have expanded, and Moderate Drought conditions were introduced to Central and Southern Portions of the Peninsula on this week’s drought monitor update.
- Moderate risk for rip currents along East Coast with a high risk along several Florida Panhandle beaches and Palm Beach County.
- Isolated showers will linger along and west of the I-75 corridor into the early overnight hours before gradually dissipating (10-20% chance of rain).
- Low temperatures in the middle to upper 60s across North and Central Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s across South Florida and the Keys.
- Areas of patchy to locally dense fog will be possible overnight and early Friday morning across North and Central Florida.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 1st, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Dense Fog Advisories are in effect along the Florida Panhandle and western Big Bend through the mid-morning hours as foggy conditions have reduced visibilities to ¼ of a mile or less at times.
- As foggy conditions lift and dissipate, partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies can be expected statewide as high pressure develops over the Carolina’s.
- Lingering moisture, and the collision of the Atlantic and Gulf sea breeze boundaries, will give way to isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later this afternoon and evening from the Big Bend and throughout the Peninsula (20-40% chance of rain).
- While there is no organized risk for severe weather, a few strong thunderstorms capable of producing lightning, gusty winds and heavy downpours cannot be ruled out during the peak heating hours of the evening.
- Locally heavy downpours may also lead to localized instances of ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas throughout South Florida and the Southeast Metro.
- Lingering moisture and calm winds will allow for patchy to locally widespread fog development overnight and early Thursday morning throughout North Florida and isolated areas across interior Central and South Florida.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected for Panhandle and East Coast beaches due to persistent onshore winds along the coastlines.
- Minor riverine flooding is forecast to continue through this week and into next week along the Suwannee and Santa Fe Rivers as water levels continue to slowly decline.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
