RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, March 25, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Dense Fog Advisories remain in effect across the Panhandle and western Big Bend through the mid-morning hours as dense fog and low clouds have reduced visibility to ¼ of a mile or less at times.
- Foggy conditions across North Florida will generally lift and dissipate as the sun continues to rise and drier conditions develop with the help of high pressure returning over the Gulf Coast states.
- A broken line of showers with embedded rumbles of thunder will continue to push south of the I-4 corridor and into South Florida throughout the morning hours ahead of a weak cold front.
- Another round of isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms develop this afternoon and evening along East-Central and Southeast Florida as the sea breeze develops before pushing offshore late this evening (20-50% chance of rain).
- With the sea breeze developing, some of these thunderstorms may become strong to severe during the peak heating hours of the day and will be capable of producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter-size) and locally heavy downpours – Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather.
- While confidence regarding an embedded tornado or two is low, it cannot be completely ruled out.
- Locally heavy downpours or multiple rounds of shower and thunderstorm activity could lead to localized instances of flash flooding or ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- While the overall wildfire threat is lower than the last few days, thunderstorms will be capable of producing lightning and erratic winds that could ignite new fires or help to spread existing ones.
- High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s along the coastlines and lower to middle 80s throughout the state.
- Fog development will be possible throughout North Florida overnight and into early Wednesday morning, with instances of locally dense fog possible in some areas.
- Low temperatures will return to the middle 50s to middle 60s throughout the state and upper 60s to lower 70s across Southeast Florida and the Keys.
- Numerous beaches across the Panhandle and East-Central Florida can expect a moderate risk for rip currents to persist throughout the day.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, March 24th, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- A broken line of showers and thunderstorms will continue to move across the I-10 corridor throughout the morning hours ahead of an approaching cold front, but will weaken before it reaches the Peninsula this afternoon.
- Additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms will develop throughout the day across the Panhandle and Big Bend closer towards the cold front (50-80% chance of rain).
- This second round of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will largely remain dependent and if any sunshine breaks through to allow for daytime heating.
- Both of these rounds of shower and thunderstorm activity have the potential to bring isolated strong to severe thunderstorms throughout the day across the Panhandle and the Gulf Coast.
- The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) is outlooking a Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the Panhandle and western Big Bend as thunderstorms will be capable of producing lightning, damaging wind gusts (50-60 mph), large hail (quarter-size) and heavy downpours.
- An embedded tornado or two cannot be ruled out as well.
- Showers and thunderstorms across the Panhandle and Big Bend may bring locally heavy downpours that create nuisance ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will remain possible across interior portions of East-Central and Southeast Florida as relative humidity values will fall near critical thresholds (35-45%).
- High temperatures will reach the 70s across North Florida and upper 70s to middle 80s across Central and South Florida this afternoon.
- Lingering showers and embedded thunderstorms will be possible into the evening and overnight hours as the cold front moves through, but generally drier conditions will return from west to east (25-35% chance of rain).
- Lingering moisture and calm conditions may allow for fog development across North Florida and Nature Coast, with instances of locally dense fog possible.
- Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 50s across North Florida, lower to middle 60s across Central Florida and upper 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
- Numerous beaches across the Panhandle and East Coast can expect a moderate risk for rip currents to persist throughout the day.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, March 23rd, 2025.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy fog this morning should quickly lift and dissipate for portions of the Suwannee Valley and Florida Peninsula as the sun continues to rise.
- High pressure will continue to create pleasant conditions across the Sunshine State today with a near-zero chance of rain and a mixture of sunshine and cloud cover.
- Sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditions will also continue throughout the Florida Big Bend, Northeast and Central Florida as relative humidity values will fall near and below critical thresholds (25-35%).
- While moisture will recover across South Florida locally sensitive wildfire conditions will remain possible with ongoing dry conditions.
- High temperatures will reach 70s and lower 80s across the state, with interior portions of West-Central and Southwest Florida approaching the middle 80s this afternoon.
- Increasing onshore winds ahead of the next cold front may allow for isolated to scattered showers, with embedded rumbles of thunder or a thunderstorm or two, to develop during the late overnight and into the predawn hours across the Panhandle (25-35% chance of rain).
- Areas of patchy fog may be possible again early Monday morning across portions of the Suwannee Valley and throughout the Peninsula.
- Foggy conditions developing over ongoing wildfires may further reduce visibility.
- Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to upper 50s across North Florida, upper 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and lower 60s to lower 70s across South Florida.
- Numerous beaches across the Panhandle and East Coast can expect a moderate risk for rip currents to persist throughout the day.
- A locally high risk for rip currents continues along Palm Beach County.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Saturday, March 22, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Mostly dry conditions expected statewide today and tonight as an area of high pressure remains centered over the Sunshine State (near 0% chance of rain).
- High temperatures in the 70s statewide.
- Winds will reach up to 10 mph with gusts up to 15 mph.
- Dry air will continue to linger across the state will allow for sensitive to locally elevated wildfire conditionsthis afternoon and evening.
- The wildfire over southern Miami-Dade County may continue to create hazy conditions due to smoke.
- Low to moderate risk for rip currents returns statewide with relatively calm marine conditions; locally high risk for rip currentsin Palm Beach County.
- Low temperatures in the 40s across North Florida, low to middle 50s across Central Florida, middle 50s to middle 60s across South Florida, and upper 60s to low 70s along the Keys.
- Areas of patchy fog may be possible along the Florida Panhandle overnight into early Sunday morning.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, March 21, 2025
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Mostly dry conditions and mostly sunny skies statewide today and remaining clear and dry tonight under high pressure (near 0-5% chance of rain).
- High temperatures in the middle to upper 60s across North Florida and upper 60s to middle 70s elsewhere.
- Winds near 5-10 mph with gusts upwards of 15-20 mph today, calming to up to 10 mph and gusts up to 15 mph
- this evening and overnight.
- Dry air filtering into Florida behind the recent cold front will drag relative humidity values down to near or below critical thresholds (20-40%) statewide this afternoon and evening, creating elevated wildfire conditions.
- Red Flag Warnings issued for portions of East-Central Florida as critically low relative humidity, breezy winds, and rapidly drying fuels over areas with ongoing drought conditions will create high fire danger this afternoon and evening; A Fire Weather Watch extends southward through Southeast Florida.
- Any fires that develop will likely spread rapidly. Outdoor burning is not recommended. Remember to avoid open flames, keep vehicles off dry grass, and properly discard cigarettes.
- Moderate to high risk for rip currents statewide today with lingering breezy winds and ocean swells creating hazardous beach and boating conditions.
- Low temperatures in the upper 30sto middle 40s across North Florida, middle to upper 40s across Central Florida, 50s across South Florida, and low to middle 60s along the Keys.
- Areas of frostwill be possible across portions of North Florida overnight into early Saturday morning.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
