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RSS Morning Sitrep

4/15/2025 1:58:42 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, April 14, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • An increase in cloud cover can be expected across the Panhandle today in comparison to yesterday as a weak cold front approaches the Panhandle from the north.
  • This cold front will remain dry, but a few light sprinkles or brief showers cannot be ruled out later in the day along the Big Bend and Northeast Florida (15-20% chance of rain).
  • Ahead of and along the front breezy wind gusts near 15-20 mph will develop into the afternoon, with locally stronger gusts upwards of 25 mph possible.
  • Mostly dry and sunny conditions can be expected to persist across Central and South Florida throughout the daytime hours.
  • Dry air throughout the interior Peninsula will allow for relative humidity values to fall near and below critical thresholds this afternoon (30-40%).
  • With elevated winds and near critical relative humidity values, sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions can be anticipated to develop this afternoon and evening throughout the Peninsula.
  • High temperatures will steadily climb into the upper 70s to middle 80s throughout the state, with interior portions of the Peninsula reaching the upper 80s.
  • A few isolated brief showers may be possible overnight across Northeast Florida and towards the I-4 corridor as the cold front pushes through (10-20% chance of rain).
  • Low temperatures will fall into the upper 40s to middle 50s across North Florida and upper 50s to middle 60s across Central and South Florida overnight.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents will continue for Panhandle and East Coast beaches, with a high risk along the eastern Panhandle.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

4/14/2025 1:55:11 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, April 14th, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A sunshine-filled day can be expected across the state as high pressure continues over the Gulf Coast (near-zero chance of rain).
  • The dry air mass over the state will persist allowing for relative humidity values to fallnear and below critical thresholds (20-35%) this afternoon throughout the Big Bend, Northeast Florida and interior Central Florida.
  • Light winds and wind gusts upwards of 10-15 mph will develop throughout the day, which will remain below Red Flag conditions.
    • Stronger wind gustsupwards of 20 mph cannot be ruled out closer towards the coast due to the sea breeze.
  • Sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions can be expected to develop this afternoon, with the more elevated threat across interior Central Florida due to ongoing wildfire conditions.
  • High temperatures will steadily climb into the upper 70s to upper 80s this afternoon with plenty of sunshine.
  • Dry and calm conditions can be expected to persist overnight.
  • Low temperatures will fall into the 50s across North Florida, upper 50s to middle 60s across Central Florida and 60s to lower 70s across South Florida overnight.
  • Calm marine conditions near 1' can be expected across Panhandle and Gulf Coast beaches, but amoderate risk for rip currents can be expected along Panhandle beaches.
    • Elevated surf near 2-3' and amoderate risk for rip currents will persist along East Coast beaches.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

4/13/2025 2:07:13 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, April 13, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • High pressure across the Southeast U.S. will bring pleasant conditions and a near-zero chance of rain across the Sunshine State today.
  • Drier conditions will allow relative humidity values to drop near and below critical thresholds (15-35%) this afternoon statewide creating sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions.
    • Calmer winds near 5-10 mph can be expected, with stronger wind gusts upwards of 15 mph along the immediate East Coast due to the sea breeze, but Red Flag Conditions are not expected.
  • High temperatures will reach the middle to upper 70s and lower 80s this afternoon.
  • Dry and calm conditions will persist into the overnight hours and a near-zero chance of rain can also be expected.
  • Low temperatures will fall into the middle to upper 40s and lower 50s across North Florida, middle 50s to lower 60s across Central Florida and upper 50s to upper 60s across South Florida overnight.
  • A moderate risk for rip currents can be expected nearly statewide as wave heights near 1-3' develop.
  • The Apalachicola River near Blountstown has fallen below flood stage. Several other Panhandle rivers and waterways remain within Action Stage (bank-full) but will continue to decline over the next few days.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

4/12/2025 2:20:33 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for April 12th, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • A few isolated showers remain possible across South Florida and the Keys this morning as a cold front sinks southeastward through the region (5-10% chance of rain).

  • Mostly dry conditions statewide throughout the rest of the day and tonight under high pressure (near 0% chance of rain).
  • High temperatures in the middle to upper 70s across North and Central Florida and upper 70s to low 80s across South Florida.

  • Breezy northwesterly to westerly winds near 5-15 mph with gusts upwards of 10-20 mph expected.
  • Sensitive toelevated wildfire conditions can be expected statewide this afternoon and evening.

  • Elevated Risk (level 1 of 3) for Fire Weather across much of Central and South Florida as dry and breezy conditions are likely over areas with dry fuels and ongoing drought conditions.
  • Red Flag Warnings issued for portions of interior and West-Central Florida from this afternoon through this evening as critical wildfire conditions are expected and will allow any fires that develop to catch and spread quickly.
  • Fire Weather Watchesextend across South and East-Central Florida from this afternoon through this evening.
  • Low tomoderate risk for rip currents nearly statewide;high risk along numerous West-Coast beaches.
  • Low temperatures in the middle 40s to low 50s along the Florida Panhandle and Northeast Florida, low to middle 40s across the Suwannee Valley, low to middle 50s across Central Florida, middle to upper 50s across Southwest Florida, upper 50s to middle 60s across Southeast Florida, and middle to upper 60s along the Keys.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

4/11/2025 1:39:54 PM

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Friday, April 11th, 2025

Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report

EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
  • Showers with embedded thunderstorms expected to develop across the Big Bend and Northern Peninsula this afternoon and evening, spreading southward towards the I-4 corridor into the overnight hours ahead of a cold front moving southeastward through the state (30-60% chance of rain).
    • Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for Severe Weather across the Northern Peninsula and into the Nature Coast; strong to severe thunderstorms producing frequent lightning, damaging wind gusts (30-60 mph), medium to large hail, and locally heavy downpours possible.
    • Isolated instances of floodingand ponding of water cannot be ruled out.
  • Mostly dry conditions with isolated showers possible expected elsewhere today (near 0-25% chance of rain).
  • High temperatures in the upper 70s to middle 80s.
  • Winds turning westerly to northwesterly and strengthen to near 10-15 mph with gusts near 15-25 mph today behind the cold front.
  • Sensitive to elevated wildfire conditions expected along the Florida Panhandle and portions of the Peninsula this afternoon and evening.
  • Elevated Risk (level 1 of 3) for Fire Weather along portions of the Peninsula today as dry and breezy conditions are likely in the wake of the cold front.
  • Red Flag Warnings issued for portions of interior and Eastern Central Florida from this afternoon through this evening.
  • Minor flooding persists along the Apalachicola River near Blountstown.
  • Low to moderate risk for rip currents statewide; locally high risk Bay, Gulf, and Palm Beach Counties.
  • Low temperatures in the upper 40s to middle 50s across North Florida, upper 50s to middle 60s across Central and South Florida, and upper 60s to low 70s along the Keys.

To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.

Morning Situation Report

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