RSS Morning Sitrep
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Wednesday, May 8, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Reduced visibility can be expected this morning along the I-10 corridor and Suwannee Valley as dense fog and low clouds have developed.
- High pressure will dominate across the Sunshine State once again, bringing warm and dry conditions throughout the day.
- There is a limited chance for some isolated showers and rumbles of thunder to develop along the sea breeze boundaries late this afternoon and evening throughout interior portions of the Peninsula (10-20% chance of rain).
- High temperatures will climb well into the upper 80s to middle 90s across the state, with portions of Central Florida approaching the upper 90s.
- Heat index values, or feels-like temperatures, by the early to mid-afternoon hours will reach the middle 90s statewide, with portions of the northeast and central Peninsula reaching the upper 90s and near triple digits.
- Any shower or possible thunderstorm activity that manages to develop will linger throughout the evening and early overnight hours before dissipating as they move towards the adjacent coastal waters (10-15% chance of rain).
- Patchy fog may develop early Thursday morning along the Suwannee Valley and northern I-75 corridor due to light winds and mostly clear skies.
- Southerly winds along the Panhandle continues to create onshore winds that will lead to a high risk for rip currents. A moderate risk extends along the Florida East Coast, with a locally high risk for Palm Beach County beaches.
- The Santa Fe River at Three Rivers Estates is forecast to fall below flood stage later this week as water levels continue to gradually decline.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
*Correction* Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 7th, 2024.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Lingering dense fog and low clouds will continue to gradually dissipate and lift through the mid-morning hours along the Panhandle and Big Bend.
- High pressure will build over the Gulf of Mexico throughout the day allowing for mostly sunny and dry conditions through the afternoon hours.
- The Gulf and Atlantic sea breeze boundaries will move inland and collide with one another over the interior Peninsula late in the afternoon and this evening, allowing for isolated to widely scattered showers and possible thunderstorms to develop (20-30% chance of rain).
- Organized severe thunderstorm activity is not expected; however, isolated locally strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds and heavy downpours cannot be ruled out during the peak heating hours of the day.
- High temperatures will climb into the upper 80s and middle 90s statewide, with coastal areas remaining a few degrees cooler with the help of the sea breeze.
- Temperatures across portions of the interior Panhandle and Central Florida will feel-like they are in the middle to near upper 90s by the early to middle afternoon hours.
- Calm winds and clear skies developing overnight and early Wednesday morning from the Panhandle to Nature Coast will allow for patchy to locally dense fog to develop.
- Persistent and breezy onshore winds along Panhandle and East Coast beaches will continue to create a moderate to high risk for rip currents along beaches.
- Water levels along the Santa Fe River at Three Rivers Estates continue to steadily decline and is forecast to fall below minor flood stage later this week.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Tuesday, May 7th, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Lingering dense fog and low clouds will continue to gradually dissipate and lift through the mid-morning hours along the Panhandle and Big Bend.
- High pressure will build over the Gulf of Mexico throughout the day allowing for mostly sunny and dry conditions through the afternoon hours.
- The Gulf and Atlantic sea breeze boundaries will move inland and collide with one another over the interior Peninsula late in the afternoon and this evening, allowing for isolated to widely scattered showers and possible thunderstorms to develop (20-30% chance of rain).
- Organized severe thunderstorm activity is not expected; however, isolated locally strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds and heavy downpours cannot be ruled out during the peak heating hours of the day.
- High temperatures will climb into the upper 80s and middle 90s statewide, with coastal areas remaining a few degrees cooler with the help of the sea breeze.
- Temperatures across portions of the interior Panhandle and Central Florida will feel-like they are in the middle to near upper 90s by the early to middle afternoon hours.
- Calm winds and clear skies developing overnight and early Wednesday morning from the Panhandle to Nature Coast will allow for patchy to locally dense fog to develop.
- Persistent and breezy onshore winds along Panhandle and East Coast beaches will continue to create a moderate to high risk for rip currents along beaches.
- Water levels along the Santa Fe River at Three Rivers Estates continue to steadily decline and is forecast to fall below minor flood stage later this week.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Monday, May 6th, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Foggy conditions and low clouds along portions of the Panhandle and Big Bend will dissipate and lift through the early to mid-morning hours as high pressure takes over.
- An area of high pressure will gradually shift from the eastern seaboard and over towards the western Atlantic Ocean throughout the day, bringing warm temperatures in the middle 80s to low 90s statewide.
- The Gulf and Atlantic sea breeze boundaries will move inland throughout the day before colliding with one another and developing isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms later this afternoon and evening (25-45% chance of rain.
- While there is no organized risk for severe weather, isolated locally strong to severe thunderstorms capable of producing frequent lightning, gusty winds (40-50 mph), small hail (pea size) and heavy downpours cannot be ruled out.
- Heavy downpours within shower and thunderstorm activity, along with slow-moving or near-stationary activity, may lead to localized flooding and ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Patchy to locally dense fog will be possible overnight and early Tuesday morning along the Big Bend and Suwannee Valley where areas received rainfall earlier in the day.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents has returned to all Panhandle and East Coast beaches due to persistent onshore winds and elevated wave heights of 2-3’.
- Sensitive wildfire conditions continue across the central Peninsula due to warm and dry conditions across the region leading to abnormally dry (emerging drought) to moderate drought conditions.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report for Sunday, May 5th, 2024
Florida State Watch Office Morning Situation Report
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
EOC Activation Level: Level 2
Meteorological Summary:
- Areas of patchy fog across the Big Bend and Northeast Florida will quickly lift and dissipate after sunrise this morning.
- High pressure over the Carolina’s will dominate across the Sunshine State allowing for warm conditions to develop throughout the day.
- Plentiful heating will give way to the Atlantic and Gulf sea breeze boundaries to push inland and collide later this afternoon and evening creating isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms over the Suwannee Valley, I-75 corridor and western Peninsula (25-55% chance of rain).
- While organized severe weather is not anticipated, stronger thunderstorms may be capable of producing lightning, locally gusty winds and heavy downpours at times.
- Ample moisture and daytime heating processes will give way to locally heavy downpours within shower and thunderstorm activity that may lead to localized instances of flooding and ponding of water across urban and low-lying/poor drainage areas.
- Rainfall totals of 1-2” can be expected within showers and thunderstorms, but locally higher totals upwards of 3” cannot be ruled out within any slow-moving or near stationary thunderstorms that produce heavy downpours.
- Patchy fog may be possible overnight and early Monday morning along the Big Bend, Suwannee Valley and Northeast Florida due to calm conditions and residual moisture on the ground.
- A moderate to high risk for rip currents can be expected for Panhandle, East-Central and Southeast Florida beaches due to onshore winds.
- The Santa Fe River at Three Rivers Estates continues to slowly fall through minor flood stage and will continue into the upcoming week.
To view the complete Morning Situation Report, please select the link below.
