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Current Situation and Weather Update

Scattered Showers and Storms Forecast For Much of Florida...Drier Day in western Panhandle... Heavy Rainfall and Isolated Flooding Will be the Main Threat Associated with Storms Today...River Flooding Remains a Concern in Northeast and West Central Florida... High Risk of Rip Currents for Northwest Florida Beaches...Tropical Storm Fred and a New Area of Interest in the far Eastern Atlantic...

Updated 9:00 am EDT Tuesday

Showers and storms are forecast to form across the Peninsula in the afternoon hours. The presence of tropical moisture from Erika’s remnants in the Northeastern Gulf will allow for more numerous showers and storms to form North of the I-4 corridor in the Peninsula and into the Big Bend today. Widespread rainfall totals are forecast to range between a half inch to 2 inches in these locations, with totals less than a half inch forecast south of I-4 and in the Western Big Bend. Isolated higher rainfall totals will be possible and this will be the main threat for showers and storms today as heavy rainfall could cause additional areal and riverine flooding in locations that are already saturated in West Central and Northeastern Florida.

Otherwise, expect a partly cloudy day with high temperatures in the upper 80s to low 90s. Overnight, showers and storms should dwindle after sunset with all rain generally coming to an end by midnight. A few lingering showers may persist near the coast overnight.

In the Western Panhandle, much drier air will be present with partly cloudy skies and highs in the low 90s. There may be a few showers later in the day, but the lack of moisture should keep rain light and short-lived.

Flood IconAfter several days of heavy rainfall on already saturated soils, area rivers in West Central and Northeast Florida have risen over the past few days. Many are forecast to crest on or by Thursday of this week. Currently the Myakka River near the state park and the Peace River at Arcadia are in or forecast to reach moderate flood stage. All other area rivers remain in action or minor flood stage. You can find the latest river gage readings and river forecasts at the Southeast River Forecast Center’s website here.

Westerly winds will create a moderate risk of rip currents in Franklin county along the Panhandle and along the east coast of Florida from Volusia to Martin County. A low risk of rip currents is forecast for the rest of the state. Beach goers are urged to check with local beach patrol or beach warning flags for the latest surf conditions before entering the water. Always swim within sight of a lifeguard. For more information on rip currents click here.

Fred, currently in the far Eastern Atlantic, has weakened to a Tropical Storm and contains maximum sustained winds of 65 mph. Tropical Storm Fred is currently moving off to the west-northwest at 12 mph with a turn to the northwest is expected in the next couple of day. Tropical Storm Fred is forecast to weaken over the coming days as it encounters cooler water and increasing wind shear. The current forecast has Fred weakening into e remnant low on Sunday. Fred is not anticipated to be a U.S. threat at this time as preliminary forecast models steer this system out to sea.

Elsewhere in the Atlantic, a tropical wave is forecast to emerge off the African coast this Thursday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be favorable for gradual development of this system once it reaches the Atlantic waters late this week and into the Weekend. For this reason the National Hurricane Center has placed this systems chances for development at 0% in the next 48 hours and at a 20% chance in the next 5 days. For more information on the tropics please visit the National Hurricane Center website here.

Weather Images Courtesy of Weather Services International
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September 1, 2015 14:04


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